Autumn colours western EDEM

Some Ukrainian politicians and, first of all, the president, try to convince «small Ukrainians» that the West is something like Paradise, or Edem as still it is accepted to name a mythical place where to eat and drink it is possible «on requirements», as in the CPSU program. And, that is especially important for our inhabitant, not especially troubling itself thus job. Know, lay to itself under a cherry, look, how bees bear nectar, and curds and pile contents by itself fly to a mouth. Do not forget only in time it to open. Whether so it? 

Capitals have moved on the East 

Really, many at us, and in neighbouring countries have got used to look at EU and the USA as to the Earth Promised, forgetting, that there there are many unpleasant things: unemployment, poverty, criminality etc., etc. And rather a life high level is paid by intensive work in which there is no place to smoke breaks and, especially, absences «on a beer irrigator». But the main thing, appears, at all in it. 

Today in economic there are shifts which on the effect on all planet can be compared unless to opening of America and followed after this «revolution of the prices» in Europe. The greatest colonial empires Spain and Portugal, originally having won on a robbery of stocks of gold and silver, have soon appeared poor and broken, for centuries having left with a world scene, and on the foreground there was Holland and the Great Britain. 

Today we observe a picture, paradoxical image having something in common with that which was born in XVI-XVII centuries. The West expected, that the main prize from globalization's processes will get to it. But now other appears. The capital in a pursuit of profit has moved on the East. 

And how not to move, if there, especially in China, enormous resources enough the formed, disciplined and cheap labour. And the ruling handheld computer ensures stability. As a result Celestial already today it is possible to name new «world workshop», and Shanghai on eyes turns to the third, after London and New York, the financial centre of the world. 

When one of acting deputies of the Chinese parliament at the last International economic forum in Davos have asked, why Chineses do not purchase more than the American goods (as is known, on the average the Chinese postpones, not spending, half of incomes) the Chinese deputy has answered: «Chineses save up the today's expenditure for tomorrow, and Americans spend the tomorrow's savings today». Differently, the Chinese member of parliament has said that at many for a long time already in mind: China has the future, and the United States it have lost. 

To the "Chinese" and the "Indian" Asia consumer goods and home appliances manufacturing has left. Many branches of mechanical engineering, including manufacturing of cars leave. As Russian expert Sergey Karaganov speaks, the large part of labour-consuming industrial production of the world, and also manufacturing of new technologies and knowledge will continue to move there. That is there will pass still ten years and many traditional industries in the USA and Europe almost does not remain. 

As a result the West will have a mass of social and economic problems. More correctly, they have already appeared. In economy of the developed countries the large part of old branches does not maintain a competitiveness to the cheap Chinese goods, visible Russian economist-neoliberal Evgenie Yasin marks. People, clearly, purchase that is cheaper, but, simultaneously, qualitative enough. 

Fast rates India, which national economy in greater degrees, than Chinese increases economic power, is focused on manufacturing of services in high technologies, in particular, in the field of modern telecommunications and the software. In Bangalore, for example, where large Indian IT Contractors are possessed, switching on Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services and Wipro Technologies, and also many western IT Companies, in technological sector is now taken more than 200 thousand persons. In India consider, that on quality of scientific and technical developments Bangalore any more does not yield to the well-known Silicon Valley in the USA. 

It is not necessary to forget about economy of Japan also. Besides, Taiwan and South Korea concern number powerful economically the countries. 

The big possibilities the format of the states «АСЕАН + 3», consolidating members of Association of the states of South East Asia opens, China, Japan and South Korea. This organisation has a potential to become the greatest trading block of the world, having eclipsed the European Union and North American association of free trade. Deepening of communications between the countries «АСЕАН + 3» as observers mark, is a large diplomatic defeat of the USA, hoping to use the organisation of Asian-Pacific economic complementation ( for restriction of growth of the Asian economic regionalism at the expense of America. 

The West has lost historical prospect 

The centre of world capitalism as it is visible, moves from the North America and Europe to Asia. If in 2005 the western countries manufactured 50 % of world gross national product by 2020 40 % are expected. Power of economy of the West has considerably weakened. Changes are already visible, as they say, an unaided sight. We consider till now, that economic "motor", are the USA, Germany, the Great Britain and France. At us it is accepted to consider acquisition any mean small companies in the West as the higher criterion of success. We with pride calculate every day, on what share of percent the turnover with the EU countries has increased. We consider, at all not being interested, that there we sell. And it would be necessary, as it, mainly, at all production with a high share of an added value. 

But the most terrible roots that we do not wish to see that the West has lost historical prospect. That is we meaningly try to "attach" Ukraine, and on the second and even the third roles, to the system which does not have special chances even in foreseeable prospect, let alone the greater. 

Actually, to be again "motor", it is necessary for western countries to be overhauled, make new innovative break. As, for example, was with transition from a steam-engine to an internal combustion engine, or with the advent of the Internet. But to tell, when it will happen and whether will happen in general, very difficult. After all such transition can be born and in the east. At least in the same India, with its Bangalore. 

«Burden of the white person» the USA any more under force 

While unique "innovation" of the West is frankly imperialistic policy of management of George Bush. And special changes it is not expected. As is known, John McCain - the best friend Miho Saakashvili, and Sarah Peylin admits, that could use the nuclear weapon for the sake of protection of Georgian "democracy". 

However "innovations" such have led to what not on Senka there was a cap. Costs for the aggressive policy have exceeded country financial possibilities. For military needs in 2009 financial year which begins in the USA since October, 1st, it is designated by 612,5 billion dollars that constitutes more than half of military costs of all other world. 

It is the hugest sum even on scales of the USA. Especially, if to consider, that real manufacturing departures from the country. As a result the goods are delivered from China and other Asian countries. Clearly, capitals there leave, and world claims still are in Washington. But «burden of the white person» the USA any more under force. 

Actually, the present financial crisis originating from the USA is connected with these processes also. It was necessary is artificial to support reeled economy. Have for this purpose made cheaper the credit. Americans have rushed to a whirlpool of acquisition by the real estate. When there were evidences of inflation, and the euro began to supersede dollar in the world markets, a discount rate has been decided to hoist. As a result the credit became expensive, and those who has received it earlier, could not settle up. So the hypothecary crisis which has smoothly outgrown in financial and covered, in different degree, all world was born. 

Of responsibility of the USA for present crisis has reminded on September, 22nd German chancellor Angela Merkel. She has declared, that the USA and the Great Britain tolerated financial markets which did not wish to undertake voluntary control obligations. Then in many European Union countries the decision was accepted to accept administrative actions in bank sector, in particular to enter certain rules of administration of loans. To support such measures promised also Washington. But when business has reached their realisation, in America have reversed. 

«There was an arrangement, - Angela Merkel has told. - Europe enters such measures, and America too. All of us have honesty made, and Americans have told: without us. So it is impossible to act in the international relations». To disentangle it is necessary now to tax bearers not only in the United States, but also in many other things the countries as the world financial market is a uniform organism. 

And, if the index Ukrainian PFTS since May of this year has fallen to 70 % to blame for it it is necessary, first of all, the gone too far American capital. Instead, president Victor Yushchenko has gone to Washington as the People's Deputy from the Batch of regions Vadim Kolesnichenko suspects, to ask from the American establishment "kindly" on a power variant of the decision of present political crisis in Ukraine. Obviously to found in Ukraine the dictatorial regulations similar to volume which has established in Georgia Miho Saakashvili. 

But not only with an index it became bad. Here the citation from German «Frankfurter Аllgemeine» from September, 18th: «Basically the country possesses numerous agrarian and industrial resources, but industrial production in the last months in the uniform image has failed. In August in an annual basis it was reduced to 0,5 %. The market counted on a gain in 4,7 %. Besides it, there is a big problem with inflation. Consumer costs in an annual basis have grown in August on 26 %, purchasing - on the whole 47 %, and trade balance in July has appeared sharply negative. The country currency has against the dollar depreciated for the last weeks on 9 %». 

Certainly, the policy is got mixed up in an event also. However today it would be desirable to ask: and who has thought up so-called «third tour» presidential elections in 2004? The answer is simple: those who wished to give power «silent American» to Victor Yushchenko, and are all of them in the same place - in Washington. The same misters "have taken care" of parliament dispersal in 2007 and realisation of early election therefore the country was loaded in deep political and social and economic crisis. 

«To deliver America into place» 

«In 1998 US State Secretary Madeleine Olbrajt has told about the country: ‘ We the irreplaceable state ’. However the USA have appeared quite replaceabler the state. Europe, China, Russia, Latin America both other regions and the countries on the sly undertake measures, effect if not the unique purpose which will deliver America into place», - the Chinese newspaper «China Daily» wrote. In turn the American research fund «RAND Corporation» claims, that China by 2020 considerably will amplify and will turn to the key player on global space. 

In a more comprehensive sense it is necessary to speak about break and in economy and the politician which happens in the countries of East and Southern Asia. And, if we wish to live normally, strategy of "the Euroatlantic choice», on which crazy about the president, and strategy of advancing economic and political rapprochement with the advanced East which on eyes turns as Sergey Karaganov notices, in «the new West» is necessary to us not. Certainly, maintaining thus at sufficient level of the relations with the European countries. 

And not to forget, that the spring and summer of the West have already passed. Now western Edem it is painted in sad colours of autumn. Behind it the winter … will come