Thursday, January 22, 2009

The true reasons of world financial crisis (continuation)

As the hole in liquidity has been made and the western and Russian banks to tell there is no the sense, all it and so know. 

On magic wand wave (a rod know, in whose arms) it has ceased to be purchased metal products, have fallen petroleum prices, it is sharp - in times have fallen capitalisation of the companies, banks began to withdraw credits, any crediting has ceased hypothecary and practically. Oligarchs have started to perceive, that they any more absolutely oligarchs. 

Now it is a little how in Russia the patriotic rhetoric and patriotic processes are combined with an implicit dirigibility of a management of Russia in questions of following to rules and indicatings from «a control centre flyings». Here it is necessary to recognise the following: unfortunately, there is no special merit of the people and a management of Russia in developing of patriotic processes of the last years. To me it is final, as to the person, pleasantly, that all it takes place, but here we see simply embodying of one of devices of the plan of opening-up for a new configuration after the crisis world. The plan on building of one of new poles of the multipolar world. 

Goes joining the people of Russia, and owing to historical and national features of the people of Russia, is better and to rally most effectively it for patriotism. Because other alternatives in Russia do not transit. Therefore the last years duplicity of the West is very well and effectively demonstrated, etc. Here it is not necessary to speak its dual standards much, all and so know how much efficiently moves to the population the real information that from itself introduces the West in moral sense. 

Joining other unit of the people - officers and oligarchs of Russia goes under other scenario. America suddenly unexpectedly starts to make foolish, is strategic errors harmful to it: seizes Russian officers correctly working on the American concerns and oligarchs. Of them, entry, accordingly in the USA and to France etc. is forbidden to some. 

As a result the world outlook of the Russian officers sharply varies. Before they considered, that fair ministering to concerns of the USA, country plundering, economy disorder on dignity will be estimated behind ocean, that for them (officers) of the USA is the present maiden native land, that they on completion of the mission in Russia will leave on the West, and will easy use the stolen. As at the majority of monogynopaedium and so have already been sent to America. And here suddenly all was inverted in their pattern of the world. It has appeared, that America throws out them as the used rubber goods designed for prevention of unwanted pregnancy. 

Americans simply had no right to make it pertaining to the Russian officers even if those would steal a unit stored in Forte-noks gold holding of the USA. Anybody is better and more effective, than that breed of officers, Russia did not blast. No war could be compared to effects of their activity. And here suddenly unexpectedly the USA have hit on the fifth string in Russia. 

How on this background the behaviour of a management of Russia looks? Ideally from the point of view of the frightened, confused officers and oligarchs. Russia and gives away to nobody anybody. The Cossack slogan reacts: «With Don distribution are not present!» From Ukraine the former Minister of Internal Affairs Belokon and the former chief of the department businesses of the president of Ukraine Bakay run to Russia. Yushchenko spurt out a saliva, requiring to give away them, but Russia to anybody does not give away them and even America here cannot do anything. Such examples of ten. 

All is sign cues for officers. The USA hand over the, and Russia does not hand over the. 

All at once it became clear, that the main thing - to execute game rules: to steal in smaller gauges, than earlier and something to make for the state - and everything, you in security, you - the. When the state starts to struggle ruthlessly with oligarchs for a tax dodging, but is simultaneous with it easy nominates in the power of governors which one stole always and prolong to steal after a job assignment is not contingency. It is an operation device on joining official-oligarchical assemblage. Officers start to feel protected and in security in this state and, on the whole, cease to work on another's states. The same - and oligarchs. The state, in turn, starts to lobby and protect concerns of the businessmen in the world markets, to help to perform expansion of the Russian business to Europe, in the USA and other regions. 

About it it is possible to say, reconcile many many examples of that Russia are going to to make one of new enough the strong poles in the world of a new configuration which one will be created in the proximate year-two. 

But before still there will be a series of important events, and such events which one it is severely affected all of us. 

Now, as we have already told, at full speed there is a process which one conditionally it is possible to name «a controllable breaking-down». 

The stock market has failed, huge problems with embodying of production at metallurgical, automobile, building, chemical and other companies were formed. There is no sense to transfer all those problems which one have arisen - such reports news lines dazzle. 

But here there are interesting features: the stock markets have failed instantaneously (within 1-2 days) and at once on such volumes of fall to do severe, practically deadly holes in liquidity of the operations and banks. 

And banks were the maiden target. For example, the Russian banks, easying themselves life, not especially liked to credit a real occupational sector, for them much more interestingly without any headache to play the stock market was temporary the free money of clients. In Russia the virtual stock market the last years of dews "confidently and fast. And here it is unexpected for one day has fallen to third. In transfer on usual tongue - banks have lost third of client money from with what they played the market. To sell shares on new, more to low prices, meant to record huge losses and to lose hope, what is it only casual fall and in a week of the price ratoon and all is normalised. All began to wait, when the prices will return. And they, for some reason, a week later have fallen to third. Volumes of loss became catastrophic (as of today the prices for the virtual stock markets in Russia have fallen already almost in 5 times). 

As a result at banks huge holes in balances were formed, banks cannot yield anybody credits since there is no money. The western banks because of problems in the countries start to withdraw the credits which have been given out to the Russian banks and the companies, that catastrophically aggravates a situation. 

At the largest Russian companies the capitalisation expected proceeding from exponents of the prices for the shares of the companies on the virtual stock market slumps. It is one more establishment on which one the western banks began to require automatically the recall of a unit of credits, and rating agencies began to depress ratings of these companies. The volume of credits depends on a rating and the capitalisation total also. At dipping of these exponents there is almost automatic recall of a unit of credits and possibility for the company disappears to take still somewhere new credits, to hold on during difficult times. 

In the aggregate, for banks and the large companies which one sit on a credit needle, the apocalypse situation has come. 

By the way, that in that economical sample piece of the world which one has been marshalled in the last decades, without credits any major concern, any bank could not work. As availability of credit resourses in the West was simply shocking, and rates per hundred - simply sweet for business. But all sweet instantaneously vanishes, as soon as at the operation or of bank start to require preschedule backstock of the credit. And, the causes very "objective", registered in the credit agreement - «fall of capitalisation of the company on 10 %». As we know, capitalisation has fallen at all. In Russia in 5 and more times, and in the West - on 30-50 % and more. 

By the way, whether resembles you it with what crisis of 1929 - "Great depression" began. There too on conditions of credits under buying shares, the creditor had the right to require, that the borrower has returned the credit within days (so-called marginal the loan). Such requests have been simultaneously and unexpectedly presented, and borrowers had to sell urgently shares that has called the instant breaking-down of the share market. 

If this scheme has fine worked in 30th years why it with some paravariations not to apply today? As happens. 

Now there is a necessity to solve commitment to buy up for nothing the most interesting and paying concerns. How it to make? Easier to come to the holder and to tender it any ridiculous enough total for its business? Most likely, it will despatch far away such visitor even if to it and its business it will be very bad. He will try to wait somehow times of trouble, will be broken off from actions at law from creditors, to delay litigations (they can be delayed for 2-3 years). 

It not that road, which one can suit CCF («a control centre with flyings») on behalf of FRS. 

Not looking at all power (both intellectual, and financial) at it is not present a sufficient resource to lead thousand the difficult litigations with the people protecting by hook or by crook the business. And the time factor here plays very relevant role. All operation should be finished during certain, not so major span because post termination buying up there will come other, even more relevant stage. But about him hardly later. 

As to buy up the operations and the whole branches of business so that both the prices were comprehensible and buying up terms short? 

Very simply: it is necessary, that the state has started to save "drowning" oligarchs, their banks, their companies. The state will tender credits «on salvaging» is strategic the relevant companies for the state. For example, in Russia it to 4,5 billion bucks on the company. 

The oligarch will face to a difficult select: 

- Or smashup of the business will begin already now when nobody yields credits, when there is no production sales, and costs for the company content (production plants, blast furnaces etc.) even in the conditions of blowing-down of manufacturings are huge and in 2-3 months simply up to the end "will eat" the company, 

- Or to take the credit from the state and to try to hold on, especially, all "analysts" and "experts" say, that enriching in the spring will begin, all is normalised also the oligarch, started to doubt, that it the oligarch, becomes again the present oligarch as it was in July, 2008. 

However, drawing upon a credit conditions are hardish and are generally similar to signing of waiving of business in favour of the third person. But after all we hope for the best. All will transit as a bad sleep and again will be as earlier: the low-cost money (credits), the growing virtual stock market, the world swells from bucks, production sales increases. Yes like and the credit undertakes at the native state with its friendly tuned and well familiar selling officers. In case of what, they for "recoils" will help to prolong credits for so much time, how much it is necessary, that all in the world has returned to size standard. Here if the credit was tendered by the rigid businessmen it would be extremely hazardous. Actually, the capture of credits on such conditions would be voluntary waiving of business in favour of yielding the credit. 

But a counter here that when all to whom it is necessary, will take credits and thus will sign all rigid guarantees of backstock of credits, here then with the finance it becomes rather bad. When term will approach to return credits, to return them really there will be nothing. The prices for shares still will fall, petroleum prices - too will fall bucks to 20 for barrel, production seller's markets will be zero. So, there will be a global reconstituting of the property which one «the controllable breaking-down» is one of stage main purposes under a name title. Certainly, at first business will transfer to the state (officers will unexpectedly take a hard line pertaining to oligarchs - where you will trample against the order from what order to default - morses look-alike), well and then business from the state will transfer to to whom it is necessary. 

Now about "strong" buck. 

The buck will be "strong" all time until oligarchs and other companies will need to return the credits nominated in bucks. The "strong" buck to return much more difficult, and it will be bought up more hardly in the necessary volume for settlement for «softly devaluate» by rouble and for «is strong devaluate» grivna. A situation for Russia and Ukraine in this sense same, as well as for practically any other state (for example, in August-October the Mexican peso has fallen against the dollar more, than to 30 %, the euro has fallen to buck to 25 % etc.). This huge, even "terrible" fall in conditions when profitability of the majority of the operations compounds 10-15 %, and is not present possibility be loaned up to wait times of trouble. Thereby that oligarchs cannot return the credits taken from the state is follow-up warranted. 

Besides, the buck will be "strong" until this "strong" buck will not pay with from whom business will not collect the state and from whom it will purchase. Such too will be. It concerns at whom business more shallow, but too very interesting and profitable. When to businessmen it becomes absolutely bad, and they will be on the verge of complete loss of the business when to them will tender the quite good total, moreover and in the "strong" bucks, they, of course, with pleasure will agree to sell business. 

Here when these two stages will be performed, there will come the most interesting and rather hazardous stage. 

Once again wished to pay attention, that all it is written for simple people with absolutely small caretakings, the small and medial businessmen who have accumulated from 100 000 bucks to 2 000 000 bucks fair or rather fair and, without any doubt, persistent work. Global processes which one happen now, can have destructive impact on effects of their work. That it has not happened it is necessary to perceive, that happens in the world actually and that will happen further. Knowing a real pattern, it will be easier to you to make in time the correct solution and to save up effects of the long service. 

There is a global reconstituting of the property, there is a new configuration of the world with new centres of force. Though a reconstituting main purpose are the largest companies, banks, the operations, and not so small and medial business, but blow is necessary on all and it is necessary to be saved, have time to leave from it from under blow or at least severely to loosen it. 

How to fall into to this crisis? Was difficult onevalued to tell. I think, precisely it is not necessary to exult mischievously, that many oligarchs from agendas «Forbes» will disappear from it for ever. Normally, simply stronger and clever predators "will eat" it more weak and less clever. 

By the way, one indirect example bears to force of mind at least. In the agenda «Forbes» it is a lot of billionaires from Russia: 

-Deripaska-28 billions bucks; 

-Mardashev-24milliarda bucks; 

-Abramovich - 24 billion bucks etc. 

But in the world agenda «Forbes» there are such bankers, as Rockefeller and Rothschild, at maiden all about 800 million bucks, and at the second about 750 million bucks. Even to billion do not hold out. Though, on my estimations, each of them really "weighs" on 9-10 billion bucks. So was able to position itself is the best exponent of their intelligence. They ostensibly at all do not hold out to billionaires. 

Here also compare Rothschild and Rockefeller's intelligence on the one hand, and the Russian oligarchs on the other hand. It thus, that our oligarchs have intelligence much above, than at overwhelming majority of people. But it appears, that there are people, it is many times cleverer than them, that, by the way, it is visible and on an event now to world crisis. 

Let's prolong the story that will be post termination property reconstitutings. 

Further will come imminent - the buck default will follow. It inevitably at any alternative of succession of events since overproduction of buck by the Federal Reserve System is very clever, jumbo on volumes and scope, but all the same a pyramid. This pyramid has served the, has brought to the founders and organizers of its building fabulous lost heads and to save it, on the one hand, it is impossible, with other - there is no sense. It is necessary to transfer to the new scheme of earning money, to new Bretton-Vudsky agreements. 

Transition to new world system smoothly from the previous world currency - buck - is impossible. 

In the world there are no so much goods and real assets, how much it is printed bucks. Cumulative mass of the released bucks of times in ten more than cumulative tangible value. 

There is no alternative of succession of events at which one America could be refused from default buck. 

Therefore the default and buck waiving will happen the proximate months that various "experts", "analysts" etc. spoke 

All question as it will happen since this very severe event and very hazardous to everything including for organizers of a dollar pyramid. After all many lost all will start to muse, and as how has happened, where caretakings who in it is guilty have got to? The strongest course for the solution of this problem for provision of secure alternative for itself is a realisation of a default through «major blood». 

I think, that huge "state of emergency" of a world scale from hundreds thousand victims will be organised. And blow is necessary on terrain USA, or across Israel. Blow across the Western Europe is less interquartile. Can be for the company with the USA and Israel, but not separately. Blow only across the Western Europe to bring down buck much more hardly. Blow will be put, most likely, with use of the kernel weapon, or of "dirty" charges since are required hundred thousand victims and radioactive infestation of considerable terrains (the analogue with its three thousand victims is not necessary on September, 11th, 2001, the gauge is too small for a default). 

It seems to me, that Russia or Ukraine for blows do not suit, since even if Russia and Ukraine and more something in addition will be completely erased, with all their population it will not call a breaking-down of buck. Americans and Europeans from such news (from killing of Russia and-or Ukraine) will shudder, will tell, - «what horror» and … will easy go to prolong to drink the beer. 

Who and how will strike a blow? 

I think, that the kernel weapon of Pakistan, as the unique Muslim country having the kernel weapon will be for this purpose used. The strong president Musharraf (by the way, biased it with the active help of the USA) has been for this purpose biased from a post in August, 2008, by several months before has been killed Benazir Bhutto (it too was the strong chief from under which one check the kernel weapon could not leave). In the power has been reconciled Зардари - the husband of dead B.Bhutto. It still that shot. One year ago it was severely treated at the psychiatrist. The person picturesque, has managed two times when Бхутто was the prime minister of Pakistan, влипнуть in such corruption scandals, what even his wife the prime minister could not it отмазать, and once it even has stayed in prison. The ideal chief of the country that the kernel weapon could get to terrorists or that it secretly Iranians ostensibly could "purchase or"steal"and use for blows across the USA or Israel. 

I resemble, that Zardari have delivered at the head of Pakistan the USA hardly more two months ago. By the way, now the USA make everything to excite the most serious Antiamerican moods in Pakistan. That there are weekly blows of the Air Forces of the USA on pakistani villages on border with Afghanistan, ostensibly during prosecution of Talibs. Each time perishes 20-40 persons, basically women and children. Or to take Bush's at least recently promulgated confidential decree from July, 2008 that armed forces of the USA are authorised to traverse border with Pakistan and to strike blows to pakistani terrain for extirpation with terrorists-Talibs, not asking the consent of the pakistani authorities. 

All it specially recovers against the USA all in Pakistan and is final first of all armed forces of Pakistan where there is on arms a kernel weapon. 

Certainly after blows across the USA (or to Israel) will begin the whole war, with complementary millions victims. It will be necessary to "punish" attacked America. Who will particularly attack - or the Iran which somehow has taken possession of the kernel weapon of Pakistan, either Pakistan, or both states at once, or Ben Laden stolen a charge - is is not so relevant. Was relevant, that there will be such events after which one the question will be not pertinent - and whether it was possible «to save buck». To us will respond, that certainly it was possible, if not these «damned terrorists» or «the damned states - derelicts», etc. Will tell - you see - all of us for this purpose made: have designated 700 billion US dollars on stock market keeping up, and the market even "reacted" to our operations (already month the Dow Jones average goes for a drive there-here from 8100 to 9600 items). We have conducted the summit 20 states and have decided to reform IMF and the World Bank, it is better to monitor main parties in fault of crisis - unduly "greedy" bankers, and have made more many that to plaster and anew to paint a facade of a building of a world financial system (buildings at which one the bed actually was completely blasted and have burst all load bearing walls). After all the plastering and painting are two main means of salvaging at such problems. 

Here it is necessary to perceive one - the mankind deals with the ingenious, extremely strong bunch of the people which have marshalled that frame of the world in which one we live. But for understanding of those or their diverse operations it is necessary to allow accurately, who they on an occupation. Only it will give the chance to perceive their operations and to prognosticate succession of events. 

They are accountants, by training, on outlook, on calling. Sometimes consider, that a word the banker more noble, than the accountant. But it not so. The present accountant is a professional, and overwhelming majority of bankers so administered over the banks that have put them in a puddle. Therefore the accountant is stronger determining, than the banker. 

In the conceptual apparatus of the accountant such concepts not allowed in book-keeping, as "humanism", "kindness", "compassion" etc. are weakly introduced 

The main thing - digits, the main thing - lost head, the main thing - arithmetics of bargains. 

In a situation when it is necessary to offer people but to receive major lost head, for them there are no special doubts how to act. The lost head can be unique rather significant effect only. 

In it huge force of these people, but in same and their strategic delicacy, a vulnerable point. Simply the situation is that, that hundreds years these principles of their activity by it bring huge lost heads and work as their force. But sometime these principles will work, as delicacy and either will ruin them, or will cause an irreplaceable damage to business to which one they have devoted the life. 

Concomitant account costs of speed keys performed by them sometimes compound ten millions life: the First World War - 20 million, the Second World War - 60 million life. 

You ask, what such operations were performed in the Maiden and Second world wars? Correctly to answer this question it is necessary to apply the universal principle: to respond itself to a question - who from it has scored, to whom it was favourable? For example, in the Second world, has beaten Soviet Union, but benefit from war with a huge abruption from other participants have received the USA. In Maiden world - too they. 

All is correct - "brain" has performed operations on resolute augmentation of the possibilities and on a sharp build-up of forces "bodies" (USA). 

And the price in millions life of the special significance had no, even to the contrary - it was indispensable, since it there were life of citizens of other states which one should be loosened. 

Very much it would be desirable to hope, that for a buck breaking-down other road, i.e. not through blood of innocent people and war will be elected. 

To think up other road it is much more difficult, but actually, it only a question of intelligence of those who thinks out. All is possible, all is real. 

Alternatives can be from the most stupid, phylum, that the USA are simply refused from buck, pronounce a default, referring that because of a world financial crisis, because of recession of economic the buck cannot and to be world currency further. Here "experts" and "analysts", and a large quantity of mass media controllable by holders FRS, will very fast explain and will din into all world, that so was historically stacked, that the buck was on 90 % world currency, and only on 10 % - domestic currency of the USA. And as the buck cannot be more world currency (because of very objective circumstances, because of the most serious world crisis in which one nobody is guilty) it cannot and remain domestic currency of the USA further. For the sake of the noblest purpose of preserving from shattering of major of economics - economy of the USA (that the bucks which have rushed from all world have not wiped off the face of the earth the USA without which one in the world it becomes empty and is sad) - only for the sake of this highest and гуманнейшей the purposes of the USA are forced to be refused from buck and in the country to introduce «new buck». 

And if month three after the declaration of such solution, through world mass-media to iron brains to all world 99,9 % of people will start to consider sincerely, that really it was unique and most "noble" of possible runouts, of a situation stacked because of objective, the strongest for all world history, crisis. 

Has sat, has thought half an hour and has thought up 2-3 more not so such stupid alternatives of escaping of a situation. I will not begin to set up them since already tired to write, I do not like to write, and it is time to complete. 

In any event, there are much more humane means of achievement of an object in view (without blood of innocent people of Israel, the USA, Iran etc.) 

And by an account unit (only payment of mass-media) they are more low-cost, than war. 

But it is all only in that event it is comprehensible to those who makes of the solution, if after liquidation of the unipolar world, they at building of the multipolar world, will mortgage in its scheme others, not such, as now, principles of reception of the lost head, principles of provision of the influencing in the world and, accordingly, principles of build-up of a world financial system. 

Meanwhile to me it is handed over, that they are prepared to recreate all as before: the virtual stock markets, building of financial pyramids (it is simple not from one currency, and from several), and further under the agenda. 

Though there are also other sample pieces of the world at which one they can save the influencing, but they them for some reason do not see or, maybe, do not wish to see. 

If so, practically unique alternative of developing of the further events - blood. Wherefore only she allows to tell, that all has been correctly organised and only damned "terrorists", "enemies" etc. have spoilt all and have not yielded all to patch. 

In other events it is necessary to call things by their proper names, and after that it will be much more difficult to justify, what for and who should build again the same pyramids as earlier. 

In the aggregate, a buck breaking-down, waiving it the USA and its metamorphosis into ashes inevitably. Inevitability is specific by that the present financial system of the world is constructed by a financial pyramid principle. 

That to you did not speak, the pyramids hired by founders "experts", it should this time will fall also has come. It is a question of several months. 

Be assured, that there will be it on 100 % unexpectedly for everything, except chiefs of this process. Till the last moment the buck will be strong, all will be stacked not bad. 

Then, in one day, all will be transmuted into ashes. As one clever person has told: «Now for buck yield 27 roubles, and will soon yield in a nose». 

The euro, rouble etc. Though will simultaneously fail, on these currencies there will be no default as on buck, but they because of the hugest hole in the world finance will instantaneously fall in the price of times at 10-15. 

When at all money will practically disappear, slow building of a new world economic system will begin. 

Main items will be at those who possesses the most profitable assets (the real operations etc.). They most fast and more than all begin to earn new money. The others will remedilessly lag them.

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